New York Mick Posted October 3, 2018 Share Posted October 3, 2018 Vegas isn’t wrong very often but I don’t see this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jet_Engine1 Posted October 3, 2018 Share Posted October 3, 2018 Thats a trap line all day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CanadienJetsFan Posted October 3, 2018 Share Posted October 3, 2018 I actually think we'll win this one, but yeah they should be favored Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lupz27 Posted October 3, 2018 Share Posted October 3, 2018 I think a lot of people (foolishly) think the Jets defense is good, it’s really the only explanation (well other then the real reason it’s currently the line that is getting equal action $$$$$$ wise). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
New York Mick Posted October 3, 2018 Author Share Posted October 3, 2018 Just now, Lupz27 said: I think a lot of people (foolishly) think the Jets defense is good, it’s really the only explanation (well other then the real reason it’s currently the line that is getting equal action $$$$$$ wise). I figured the line moved but it’s the same as open. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
flgreen Posted October 3, 2018 Share Posted October 3, 2018 Said it earlier, Jets beat Denver, and Colts, board goes crazy at 3-3. Get killed by the Vikes, and we're off off again. I won't bet a penny on this game, but it's a great game for someone to put the mortgage on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spoot-Face Posted October 3, 2018 Share Posted October 3, 2018 I guess Vegas has been talking to Mehta. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
prime21 Posted October 3, 2018 Share Posted October 3, 2018 Jet Up! We’re favs, let’s do this. Sent from my iPhone using JetNation.com mobile app Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nico002 Posted October 3, 2018 Share Posted October 3, 2018 Vegas sets the line that they think will get the most action on both sides... not what they think will be the result of the game. being only favored by 2 at home says that Denver is the “favorite” short week, cross country, Denver is 1-10 in last 11 road games... makes sense Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoJoTownsell1 Posted October 3, 2018 Share Posted October 3, 2018 18 minutes ago, New York Mick said: Vegas isn’t wrong very often but I don’t see this one. Because Vegas doesn't get caught up in the moment and sees a team that trounced Detroit, manhandled Cleveland for a half and held Tannehill to 168 yards passing and sacked him 4 times. Don't get me wrong, I am not suggesting the Jets are great but they are no where near as bad as they were last week and Denver is coming off a MNF game (short week), travelling cross country and playing a 1PM game (11AM Denver time). And while we have to deal with Bowles, I am not sure Vance Joseph is any better...he is likely worse. Vegas knows that while every guy at the bar will be betting Denver but the "sharps" will likely be pounding the Jets. So if you're betting, you have to ask yourself which side of that game do you want to be on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lupz27 Posted October 3, 2018 Share Posted October 3, 2018 22 minutes ago, nico002 said: Vegas sets the line that they think will get the most action on both sides... not what they think will be the result of the game. being only favored by 2 at home says that Denver is the “favorite” short week, cross country, Denver is 1-10 in last 11 road games... makes sense This is the type of useful information that explains the line, and why it is what it is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Larz Posted October 3, 2018 Share Posted October 3, 2018 Denver had a negative point differential and and the Jets have a higher ranked defense and are playing at home Let's see where the line goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
slimjasi Posted October 3, 2018 Share Posted October 3, 2018 Denver has more talent, but this could be a tough spot. Heartbreaking loss at home that could linger (like the Browns loss may have for us), short week, cross country trip, playing a defense that people thought was decent before it gave up 388 passing yards to Blake Borltes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
New York Mick Posted October 3, 2018 Author Share Posted October 3, 2018 8 hours ago, nico002 said: Vegas sets the line that they think will get the most action on both sides... not what they think will be the result of the game. being only favored by 2 at home says that Denver is the “favorite” short week, cross country, Denver is 1-10 in last 11 road games... makes sense I did not know that. I’m still not betting this game. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hael Posted October 3, 2018 Share Posted October 3, 2018 Denvers offense is sorta average. Their OL isn't great (ours is better to give you an idea), but they still have some skill position players who cause matchup problems. Denvers defense is also average. Von Miller hasn't been playing well for awhile, but their biggest problem is their secondary is far from what it used to be. We actually have a better coaching staff... This is a very winnable game. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bealeb319 Posted October 3, 2018 Share Posted October 3, 2018 I think a lot of people (foolishly) think the Jets defense is good, it’s really the only explanation (well other then the real reason it’s currently the line that is getting equal action $$$$$$ wise).The jets defense is good. Our coaching sucks but the talent is there.Sent from my [device_name] using http://JetNation.com mobile app Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
New York Mick Posted October 3, 2018 Author Share Posted October 3, 2018 8 hours ago, Larz said: Denver had a negative point differential and and the Jets have a higher ranked defense and are playing at home Let's see where the line goes Denver’s offense averages around 100 yards more per game then the Jets and is 3rd in rushing. The Jets have a better ranked D but the gap on offense is greater. Let’s hope Vegas is right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jack48 Posted October 3, 2018 Share Posted October 3, 2018 9 hours ago, Lupz27 said: I think a lot of people (foolishly) think the Jets defense is good, it’s really the only explanation (well other then the real reason it’s currently the line that is getting equal action $$$$$$ wise). I would love to have snapshots of all the opponents' pass receptions this year. I guarantee you will not see a Jet defender in the shot. Even Case Keenum should give us nightmares Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jamesr Posted October 3, 2018 Share Posted October 3, 2018 1 hour ago, Hael said: Denvers offense is sorta average. Their OL isn't great (ours is better to give you an idea), but they still have some skill position players who cause matchup problems. Denvers defense is also average. Von Miller hasn't been playing well for awhile, but their biggest problem is their secondary is far from what it used to be. We actually have a better coaching staff... This is a very winnable game. 2nd and thirty, while LEADING the game, and couldn't get off the field. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Integrity28 Posted October 3, 2018 Share Posted October 3, 2018 10 hours ago, Lupz27 said: I think a lot of people (foolishly) think the Jets defense is good, it’s really the only explanation (well other then the real reason it’s currently the line that is getting equal action $$$$$$ wise). Emmanuel Sanders - 10 catches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Barry McCockinner Posted October 3, 2018 Share Posted October 3, 2018 It's just the home field advantage. Home team starts at +3. On a neutral field we'd be a slight dog. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RoadFan Posted October 3, 2018 Share Posted October 3, 2018 10 hours ago, New York Mick said: Vegas isn’t wrong very often but I don’t see this one. I was surprised by this too. Anytime a "fishy" line is out there... I believe Vegas is trying to set up the public. They want the majority of the public to bet on Denver... which means obviously... they think the Jets are going to win a close game. Maybe the "short week, east coast trip, Denver off a devastating loss, Keenum is turnover prone, Jets due for a win" factors.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bleedin Green Posted October 3, 2018 Share Posted October 3, 2018 While many other's points about the betting is spot on, the other obvious reality is the skewed perspective. Don't get me wrong, no one thinks the Jets are any good, but no one but Jets fans are having some great meltdown over how bad this team is either. For most of the football world, the Jets are what they expected. The Broncos on the other hand are considered a disappointment that is in the midst of falling apart. I doubt anyone out west is really in a big rush to be betting on them. The average fan really just sees this as 2 crappy teams facing off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Philc1 Posted October 3, 2018 Share Posted October 3, 2018 Case Keenum is horrible but knowing Bowles we will be in umbrella zone the entire game until when we are down 30-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jetfan13 Posted October 3, 2018 Share Posted October 3, 2018 12 hours ago, nico002 said: Vegas sets the line that they think will get the most action on both sides... not what they think will be the result of the game. being only favored by 2 at home says that Denver is the “favorite” short week, cross country, Denver is 1-10 in last 11 road games... makes sense but wasn't that one road win against us? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Philc1 Posted October 3, 2018 Share Posted October 3, 2018 3 hours ago, New York Mick said: Denver’s offense averages around 100 yards more per game then the Jets and is 3rd in rushing. The Jets have a better ranked D but the gap on offense is greater. Let’s hope Vegas is right. Crazy thing is the jets season is not over. We could conceivably win the next two games and be 3-3 but Bowles will absolutely find a way to screw this up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HawkeyeJet Posted October 3, 2018 Share Posted October 3, 2018 Because Denver also isn't good and the Jets are at home? I mean it's not that hard to see why the line is the way it is. Doesnt mean the Jets are better or will win, but when 2 bad teams play each other, the home team will usually be favored. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
greenwichjetfan Posted October 3, 2018 Share Posted October 3, 2018 12 minutes ago, Philc1 said: Crazy thing is the jets season is not over. We could conceivably win the next two games and be 3-3 but Bowles will absolutely find a way to screw this up Crazy thing is I have no interest in going 7-9 unless those 7 wins are strictly because Darnold balled out. Going 3-13 because the defense/ST sucks actually seems like a better deal to me. Let Darnold get his experience and hope he's not the reason we're losing games, and we end up with high picks, 100m+ in cap space, and a new GM, HC, OC, DC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jet_Engine1 Posted October 3, 2018 Share Posted October 3, 2018 6 hours ago, RoadFan said: I was surprised by this too. Anytime a "fishy" line is out there... I believe Vegas is trying to set up the public. They want the majority of the public to bet on Denver... which means obviously... they think the Jets are going to win a close game. Maybe the "short week, east coast trip, Denver off a devastating loss, Keenum is turnover prone, Jets due for a win" factors.... The Line for the Pats v Colts game tomorrow is Pats -10.5..... Whoa. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jetscrazey Posted October 3, 2018 Share Posted October 3, 2018 I'm guessing the Jets are favored because Vegas thinks: 1) Denver will have a hangover after blowing a 2 score 4th quarter lead against the class of their division, at home 2) The Jets will play better at home. Darnold will be able to make more audibles at the line, no silent count. And he looked decent overall in his 1st home game against Miami even though the team didn't win. Plus the Jets will be in desperation mode after dropping 3 straight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
j4jets Posted October 4, 2018 Share Posted October 4, 2018 Is it too late to get a home equity line out? Any bankers out there? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thai Jet Posted October 4, 2018 Share Posted October 4, 2018 On 10/2/2018 at 9:19 PM, New York Mick said: Vegas isn’t wrong very often but I don’t see this one. I'm totally shocked. Denver will be out for blood after that KC loss. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thai Jet Posted October 4, 2018 Share Posted October 4, 2018 23 hours ago, Larz said: Denver had a negative point differential and and the Jets have a higher ranked defense and are playing at home Let's see where the line goes Plus the fact that Denver is coming off a short week possibly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jetstream23 Posted October 4, 2018 Share Posted October 4, 2018 Doesn't Vegas know that we don't pull upsets until December when the games are meaningless and we want to move from 3rd in the Draft to 10th? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BigRy56 Posted October 4, 2018 Share Posted October 4, 2018 Denver is walking into a buzzsaw. Vegas knows Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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